By the end of September a Russian Cosmos 3 missile
will be launched from the Plesetsk Cosmodrome 800 km north
of Moscow, carrying two Iranian satellites into orbit.
Although the satellites are claimed to be for meteorological
and experimental purposes, experts believe that one of
them will possess surveillance capabilities allowing it
to observe American and Israeli military facilities throughout
the Middle East. More importantly, experts believe that
the Iranian space program serves as a cover for developing
more advanced long-range missiles capable of carrying
nuclear warheads.
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Mesbah
- The first Iranian satellite;
will travel around the Earth 14 times a day.
(credit: Iran daily)
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Besides its nuclear ambitions and the discovery of its purchase
of long-range
cruise missiles from the Ukraine, recent reports indicate
that Iran might be only days away from launching a spy satellite
into orbit. The Iranian military space program was revealed to
the world back in 1998 when the Iranian Minister of Defense claimed
that the next Iranian missile, known as the Shihab-4, would have
the ability to launch payloads into orbit. Since then some intelligence
sources have speculated that Iran might have abandoned the Shihab-4
development in favor of a more advanced Shihab-5 launch vehicle.
Be that as it may, the Iranian inspiration to launch their own
satellite into orbit continued to motivate it in the following
years.
Although Iran has a relatively
advanced military research and development program of its own,
it still falls short of the technological level required for an
independent space program. As in the case of its nuclear and long-range
missile programs, Iran turned to countries which assisted her
in developing its military capability in the past including Russia,
China and North Korea. These countries are currently involved
at different levels in the Iranian space program and in particular
in the development of the booster which will probably be a derivative
of the Shihab ballistic missile. However, the current launch,
planned for late September 2005, will not be performed using a
native Iranian launcher but rather by a Russian Cosmos 3 launch
vehicle.
The Iranian Satellite to be
launched called the Mesbah, which literally means lantern, has
been in the works for the last eight years and reached maturity
after collaboration between Iranian and Italian engineers. The
Italian company Carlo Gavazzi Space (CGS),
who assisted in the Iranian space effort to develop the Mesbah
also contributed extensive knowledge to its partners and as a
result, Iranian officials have been quoted as being optimistic
regarding their ability to independently launch more advanced
satellites in the next several years.
The 65-75kg Mesbah will, according
official Iranian sources, be used as a tool for collecting data
on ground and water resources and meteorological conditions, and
will also be used to control power supply systems and pipelines.
However, various intelligence sources report that the satellite
will also have limited surveillance capabilities and will be used
by Iran to gather intelligence information on neighboring countries
including American bases in Iraq, the Gulf and Israel. The satellite
is expected to remain in orbit for three years and some experts
say it will be able to continue operations for up to five years.
Along side the Mesbah, the Russian Cosmos 3 will reportedly launch
a smaller Iranian satellite named Sinah-1. This 20kg domestically
made satellite was meant to be launched using Iran's own launcher
as a technology demonstrator, but for unknown reasons will eventually
be launched using the Russian booster.
Nations around the world have
raised concern regarding the ongoing efforts by the Iranian government
to acquire advanced military capabilities including independent
satellite launching capabilities which are directly linked to
the development of its ballistic missile program. Tal Inbar, senior
research fellow at the Fisher
Institute for Air and Space Strategic Studies, told IsraCast
that the development of the Iranian space program will allow Iran
to continue the development of its long-range ballistic missile
program surpassing the watchful eye the Missile Technology Control
Regime (MTCR), the organization in charged of preventing the proliferation
of missile technology. Technologies that accompany the development
of satellites such as micro electronics can also be used as a
cover for the development of small size nuclear weapons which
will fit the advanced version of the Shihab missile, says Inbar.
The Outer Space Treaty and anti satellite weapons
In October 1967, the "Outer
Space Treaty" was entered into force calling for, among other
things, nations to preclude from military activity in space and
in particular from placing and using weapons of mass destruction
in outer space. While the interpretation of the treaty ranges
from absolutely no military activities in space to allowing activities
that are passive in nature, the result is that military activities
are curtailed and limit space as a realm for employing national
security activities.
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Anti
satellite missile (ASAT)
launched by F15 during high-altitude
supersonic climb. (credit: US Air Foce)
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Regardless of the treaty,
several countries began seeking different ways to neutralize what
they considered the threat from above. The Cold War was the breeding
ground for wild ideas, many of which were worthy of science fiction.
During a certain period of the Cold War the U.S. was actively
testing nuclear weapons as a means of destroying enemy satellites
in orbit. The Soviets were also developing various anti satellite
systems including a "suicide satellite" that remains
dormant until called into action to intercept an enemy satellite
by crashing into it. In the late 70's the U.S. started the Anti-Satellite
Missile project (aka ASAT). Launched from a modified F-15A in
high-altitude supersonic climb the ASAT two-stage missile was
able to reach targets as high as 560km and above.
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PP78-1
NASA Orbiting Solar
Observatory (OSO), the only satellite
destroyed by anti-satellite missile
(credit: NASA)
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On September 13, 1985,
the first and only destruction of a satellite by an American air-launched
missile occurred, when an F-15A launched an ASAT against the American
solar observatory satellite "P78-1" in a 600 km (375
mile) orbit. Although the satellite was beyond its designed life-time,
it was still working and its destruction led to some protests
by scientists.
Although the U.S. Air Force
planned to purchase a large number of ASAT missiles, the project
was terminated in 1988 partly due to political reasons because
of concern that the ASAT might violate treaties regarding the
military use of space. In recent years other so called "hard
kill methods for destroying satellites were suggested including
lasers, Electro Magnetic Pulse (EMP) bombs and other high energy
weapons.
Although these methods might
have been useful as a last resort in an all-out conflict, there
are many reasons why a country might prefer a "softer"
approach to neutralizing satellites. By using electronic warfare
it is possible to block the communication lines between the satellite
and its base station. It is an open secret in the commercial communication
satellite world that a ground station can be used to jam another
communication satellite, something that happens by accident on
a semi-regular basis. It is also theoretically possible to hijack
a satellite by breaking into its secure communication with its
ground station and rerouting it. Another soft option that was
suggested was using lasers to blind the optical equipment on a
satellite thus temporarily disabling its ability to observe a
specific area.
Related
story:
Ukraine's
Sale Of Cruise Missiles With A Nuclear Potential To Iran Also
Pose Deadly Threat To Europe.
Iddo Genuth, IsraCast,
Jerusalem
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