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NETANYAHU CASTIGATES PROPOSED NUCLEAR DEAL WITH IRAN

Israeli Prime Minister: " It's a Very Bad Deal That Will Not Obligate Us"

"The Iranians Get's Everything While Giving Nothing - They Have Good Reason To Be Smiling In Geneva"

IsraCast Assessment: Although The Geneva Agreement Is An Interim Agreement To Enable Further Negotiations, Netnayahu has Signaled That Israel Will Not Go Along With A Future Accord That Enables The Iranians To 'Break Out' For A-Bombs in the Future.

 Is the Obama administration now starting down the slippery slope that will enable Iran to eventually acquire A-bombs? Israeli Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu and other Israeli leaders think it is, if the reported nuclear deal in Geneva turns out to be true. Netanyahu made this crystal clear to the US Secretary of State in a tense closed-door meeting before Kerry flew off to Geneva, possibly to close the deal with his Iranian counterpart Javad Zarif and EU rep Catharine Ashton. Netanyahu reportedly reminded Kerry of the Secretary's former comment: “No deal is better than a bad deal!” An indicator of the U.S.-Israeli tension was the cancellation of the usual joint photo session at the end of Kerry's latest visit to Israel. But back in Washington, President Barack Obama is obviously calling the shots. While details of the emerging deal were leaking out of Geneva, an upbeat Obama told NBC that it would provide 'very modest relief'... 

Iran must not only be prevented from building an arsenal of nuclear weapons, it must also be barred from acquiring the capability of acquiring a nuclear weapon.

 The deal will reportedly obligate Iran to plan its current uranium enrichment of 20% for six months, while it could carry on with 3% enrichment. In the past, President Hassan Rouhani stated that a state that can produce 3% can also ramp it up to 90% weapons grade. But the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna has concurred with Israel's assessment that Tehran probably has enough 20% uranium to make a dash for their first A-bomb in a very short period of time. Moreover, Iran would be permitted to continue construction of its heavy water reactor Arak that can supply plutonium for a nuclear weapon, however they would pledge not to activate it! 

A drum of yellowcake (a mixture of uranium precipitates)

 IDF Gen. (ret) Amos Yadlin said the emerging deal was not 'necessarily bad' if it barred the Iranians from exploiting their nuclear program during the further negotiations. This focused on halting the enrichment of more 20% uranium and the activating of the Arak nuclear reactor.

 

 

On the basis of Iran's track record of lies and deceit, it will only be a matter of time before a mushroom cloud towers over a test site in Iran, or over Tel Aviv.

The foreign ministers from Britain, France and Germany are also flying to Geneva to apparently put the final touches on the interim agreement. When asked by an Israeli reporter, if the agreement was a good deal for his country, a beaming Iranian negotiator replied, "Certainly!" And responding to Netanyahu's concerns, a spokesman for Catharine Ashton replied that his boss was seeking the ‘best agreement possible’. This is the crux of the issue. A nuclear Iran is not only an existential threat to Israel's very existence but also a threat to the other Middle Eastern countries, and regional stability. For Israel this is a zero sum game - Iran must not only be prevented from building an arsenal of nuclear weapons, it must also be barred from acquiring the capability of acquiring a nuclear weapon. On this score, it is fair to say that the vast majority of Israelis back Netanyahu when he warns that he will act if the international community does not. Otherwise, on the basis of Iran's track record of lies and deceit, it will only be a matter of time before a mushroom cloud towers over a test site in Iran, or over Tel Aviv. But when Ashton refers to the 'best agreement possible', this implies a bargaining between the two sides to reach the lowest common denominator. In other words, the military option is not really on the table. Moreover, when the 'modest sanctions relief' starts up, big business concerns in the West, which are already in the starting blocks, will exert enormous pressure on their governments to sign new contracts with Tehran. The sanctions regime that has taken years to build will start collapsing. 

 

 What's been the reaction inside Tehran?

Iran's supreme dictator Ayatollah Khameini

 Expert Menashe Amir told IsraCast that the regime is delighted. They view it as an example of what Supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has called 'heroic flexibility'. It will have sacrificed next to nothing in the nuclear program in order to start a process of achieving badly needed relief from the economic sanctions. But make no mistake; the regime has no intention ever giving up its drive to become a nuclear power. (After the U.S. invasion of Iraq in 2003, the regime feared it could be next and temporarily halted its uranium enrichment program. This was eventually spotted by the U.S. intelligence community, which issued a National Intelligence Estimate in 2007 that erroneously concluded that Iran had suspended its nuclear weapons project! Gen. Yadlin's intelligence people contradicted that NIE and later proved to be right. DE)

But make no mistake; the regime has no intention ever giving up its drive to become a nuclear power.

 Amir describes the situation this way: "It's like two boxers in the ring slugging it out. One gets the better of the other who is hanging on the ropes and is about to go down for the full count. However, his opponent then suddenly stops and turns to the referee asking him to help up his opponent, to give him a drink of water and let him rest a little. It's as if the winning boxer does not want the knockout. That is what Obama and the rest of the 5P+1 will be doing if they ease up on Tehran's nuclear weapons project now that Iran is on the ropes!"

 

 

 David Essing 


 

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