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Israel Will Bar Syria's Chemical Weapons From Hezbollah

Defense Minister Barak: 'When President Bashar Assad Falls, We'll Consider Acting To Prevent Hezbollah FRom Getting Their Hands On Syria's Chemical Weapons, Ground-To Ground-Missiles & Anti-Aircraft'

Israeli Lesson: 'While World Condemns Horrible Crimes In Syria, It Has Done Nothing To Stop It!'

IsraCast Assessment: Speaking Forcefully, Israel's Defense Minister Left Little Doubt Israel Will Act Militarily To Prevent Hezbollah From Getting Hands On Syria's Chemical Weapons

Hezbollah Terrorists

Israel will act militarily to prevent Hezbollah from transporting Syria's chemical weapons across the border to Lebanon - that was the message from Defense Minister Ehud Barak. Interviewed on July 20th, Barak told Channel 1 TV that Israel was 'very concerned' about terror groups exploiting the current chaos to take control of Syria's chemical weapons. The New York Times had reported that Israel has raised such a contingency with the U.S. On the Hezbollah bus bombing in Bulgaria that killed five Israelis and injured more than 30 others, Israel would find out 'exactly' who had sent the lone terrorist to Burgas Airport. Analyst David Essing is of the view that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu will order the Mossad to track down and execute the perpetrators, as did Golda Meir after Palestinian terrorists massacred eleven Israeli athletes at the Much Olympics in 1972.

Israel poised for post-Assad Syria...

Israel will act militarily to prevent Hezbollah terrorists from getting their hands on Syria's chemical weapons - that was Defense Minister Ehud Barak's not so veiled warning. Barak told Channel 1 TV: 'When President Bashar Assad is toppled, as he surely will be, we are very concerned that Hezbollah will try to smuggle Syria's ground-to-ground missiles, anti-aircraft systems and chemical weapons across the border into Lebanon'. That could obviously alter the balance of forces between Hezbollah and the Israel Defense Forces. The Defense Minister was commenting on a New York Times report that Israel had discussed this possibility with the U.S. At the same time, he would not comment on when and how Israel might act to what is obviously turning into a highly volatile situation in Syria.

As for the huge bombing in the heart of Damascus that killed four of Assad's top security officials, this had been 'a very severe body blow to the regime which was now trying to regroup'. The opposition, although disorganized and fragmented, was gaining control over more and more parts of the country and would be motivated to execute more daring attacks. The only ones helping Assad were the large part of the Syria army, the shabeha militia and, as always, Iran and Hezbollah. Bashar Assad and his regime were destined to fall and this would deal a major blow to the radical axis comprised of Iran and Hezbollah. As for Assad's personal fate, Barak said it was impossible to predict whether he would leave the country alive, as did the ruler of Yemen, or suffer the fate of Libya's Muamar Gadaffi or Iraq's Saddam Hussein.

Ehud Barak (Photo: Amit Shabi)

Take Syria for example...

Israel's Defense Minister also advised Israel to learn two crucial lessons from what has been transpiring in Syria. Barak said although the international community was beating its breast about the atrocities and demanding that it must stop, the world has done nothing about it. And he added: 'We must always we remember we live in a very dangerous neighborhood and we must act responsibly and with determination - this is not North America or Western Europe'. In other words, Israel must never depend on anyone else when it comes to the question of survival. Was Barak thinking about Iran edging toward nuclear weapons despite the international community's belated sanctions?

Bashar Assad

Secondly, what was happening in the Middle East today, particularly in Egypt and Syria, had absolutely nothing to do with the Israeli-Palestinians issue. Referring to Egypt and Syria, Barak said 'those events were being driven by far deeper forces'. In making this statement, the Defense Minister took issue with the school of thought that has long argued that if the Arab - Israeli dispute were resolved, everyone would live happily ever after in the Middle East.

BURGAS AIRPORT & MUNICH OLYMPICS

IsraCast Assessment: Israel Likely To Retaliate Like It Did After Massacre Of Eleven Athletes At Munich Olympics - Track Down & Kill Terrorist Perpetrators

Imagine Hezbollah with chemical weapons...

What can be added now about the horrific bombing of a bus full of Israeli tourists at Burgas Airport? Simply this - that it is part of the ongoing 'war of shadows' being waged between Iran and Israel. But despite the enormity of the five Israeli fatalities and the 38 wounded, it is actually a side show to the main event - Iran's continuing drive to develop A-bombs. It is in this context that Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and his cabinet colleagues are likely to react. In other words, through the lens of whether a swift and punitive strike against Hezbollah would help or hinder the campaign to halt Iran? Obviously, the most likely retaliation would be an IAF air-raid on Hezbollah targets in south Lebanon. In March 2011, the Washington Post published an Israeli map pin-pointing nearly two hundred villages in south Lebanon, where Hezbollah had built camouflaged rocket sites and underground bunkers. (The UN peace-keeping force in south Lebanon fears to tread inside these villages).

However such an Israeli strike could trigger an all out war with Iran's proxy Hezbollah. It could escalate as did the Second Lebanon War in 2006 and who knows if it wouldn't boil over to include Iran. But hasn't Netanyahu assured Obama that he will give the new round of sanctions at least one final chance? In Jerusalem last week, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary apparently alluded to this when she told reporters: 'The U.S. and Israel are on the same page at the moment'. So although pointing an angry finger at both Iran and Hezbollah, Netanyahu will probably grit his teeth and order the Mossad track down the perpetrators of the Burgas atrocity, the way Golda Meir did after Palestinian terrorists murdered eleven kidnapped Israeli athletes at the Munich Olympics in 1972. Eventually Mossad agents carried out their mission and executed all the terrorists involved. And speaking of the Olympics let's hope that British security is top-notch at the London games, despite some reports to the contrary.

In a TV interview, an Israeli Foreign Ministry official disclosed that Iran and Hezbollah have attempted ten terror strikes against Israelis in recent years. (Add on the Iranian plot to kill the Saudi Arabian ambassador in Washington.) However the Mossad was always one step ahead like last week in Cyprus, a popular Israeli tourist site, when a Hezbollah terrorist was caught casing Limosol Airport. He was reportedly caught by a Mossad tip off to the Cypriot authorities. Bulgaria was also a favourite resort for Israelis. It is a fact the terrorists always look for a soft spot where security measures are low and an Israeli presence is high. They found it in Burgas. A second fact is that when the terrorists find a tactic that works they will often repeat it. The Burgas bombing should have sent alarm bells ringing at airports world-wide and not just for passengers boarding aircraft. In 1992, Hezbollah demolished the Israeli embassy in Beunos Aires slaying twenty-nine people and wounding two hundred and twenty. Two years later, they blew the Jewish Community Centre to smithereens, again in Argentina's capital city, murdering eighty-five people and injuring three hundred and thirty others. How did Hezbollah manage to smuggle such a large quantity of explosives into Argentina? Apparently they were sent by mail - in the inviolate pouches of Iran's diplomatic mail. Predictably, Tehran immediately denied any responsibilty condemning terrorism as 'inhuman'. However on second thought President Achmadenijad later gloated over what he called 'a response to blows against Iran'.

David Essing

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