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Barak's Time-Line On Iran

Defense Minister Barak: 'Moment Of Truth For Iran Is Not Matter Of Weeks, But Neither Is It Matter Of Years'

'Nuclear Negotiations & Current Sanctions Will Not Induce Iran To Halt Its Nuclear Weapons Program'

'Taking On A Nuclear Iran Will Be Far More Dangerous Than It Is Today' '

Defense Minister Ehud Barak (Photo: Amit Shabi)

 'Forget about the Great Powers' nuclear talks and the current sanctions, they will not halt Iran's drive for the A-Bomb'. That was the message from Israel's Defense Minister Ehud Barak to a closed-door session of the Knesset Foreign Affairs & Defense Committee. Analyst David Essing quotes an Israeli official at the meeting who also referred to how long Israel will wait.

 No Israeli strike around the corner...

'It's not a matter of several weeks but neither is it a matter of years!' - that was Defense Minister Ehud Barak's time-line for stopping Iran's nuclear weapons program. For MKs at the session it sounded as if Israel was giving U.S. President Barack Obama every chance to halt Iran, but time was not unlimited. On one thing Barak was certain; the current nuclear talks and the sanctions would not do the trick. So while an Israeli strike on Iran may not be just around the corner, Barak did refer to a future 'moment of truth'.

Iranian missiles (photo: MEHR)

Crawling to nuclear weapons...

A senior IDF intelligence office, Col. D--- disclosed the Iranians have not been deterred. They were enriching more uranium and 'crawling to the threshold of a nuclear potential without actually breaking-out for nuclear weapons production'. This appears to be the tipping point for Israel. If for example, its intelligence services suddenly detect any tell-tale indicators such as Iran's secretly stepping up its uranium enrichment to 90% weapons grade. Moreover, although the U.S. may be prepared to accept an Iranian nuclear threshold status, Israel apparently is not. Barak warned that taking on a nuclear Iran in the future would be far more dangerous than it is today.

Col. D--- did say the sanctions were imposing a 'significant burden' on the Iranian economy and the Ayatollahs were feeling the pinch. That explained their latest military exercises and the verbal threats to block the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran very worried about Assad's fall...

The Israeli assessment is that Tehran is very concerned that Syrian Bashar Assad, its number #1 ally, will be toppled by the Syrian rebels. But Barak declared that Assad's fall was 'inevitable' and would strike a body-blow to the radical axis headed by Iran. Therefore both Iran and Hezbollah in south Lebanon were up to their necks trying to keep the Assad regime in power. The bad news was that amid the chaos, sophisticated Syrian weapons, including chemical missiles, will be smuggled across the Lebanese border to Hezbollah. (This would sound alarm bells in Israel and probably trigger an Israeli preventative operation -DE.)

Inside Syria, IDF intelligence was aware that more Syrian officers have been defecting to the rebel forces. And in a new twist, the rebels have actually kidnapped some Syrian officers. But what had really sent shock waves through Damascus was the recent Syrian pilot, who deserted by flying his Mig to Jordan.

David Essing

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