(Banner will apear here)

Beautiful Kabbalah Jewelry Judaicawebstore.com
Font Size:

Bomb Iran And New Middle East

WikiLeaks Confirms Arab Leaders View Iran As Far Greater Threat Than Israel

Arab Appeal For U.S. Strike Against Iran's Nuclear Installations Has Far Reaching Regional Implications

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu & Other Israeli Leaders See No WikiLeaks Damage To Israel

 Ironically the latest WikiLeaks revelations, and there are more to come, may be of long-term benefit to Israel- that's the assessment of IsraCast analyst David Essing. The fact that Arab leaders have quietly been urging the U.S. to bomb Iran reveals a new strategic balance in the region - the Sunni Arab states are lining up against Shi'ite Iran that is seeking nuclear weapons to impose regional hegemony.

Saudi King Abdullah Al Aziz

 Can there be any mistaking the call by King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia: "The U.S. should cut off the head of the snake!" The leader of Bahrain actually took issue with U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates who recently argued that a military strike would only delay Iran' nuclear program by two or three years. In Bahrain's view: "Iran's nuclear program must be stopped. The danger of letting it go on is greater than the danger of stopping it!" Then there was Egypt's President Hosni Mubarak who warned that President Ahmadinejad did not think rationally. And what had Mubarak thought of President Obama's diplomatic dialogue with the Iranians: "I am not opposed to your talking with the Iranians as long as you don't believe a word they say!" Attention Walt & Mearsheimer! It is not only Israel that has been beating the war-drums for the U.S. to take on Iran. The unequivocal positions in favor of a military strike to block Iran if need be, indicates that Arab governments are ready to face the fallout at home the possibility of domestic protest to a U.S., or for that matter Israeli strike, against Iran's nuclear facilities.

Arab leaders, unlike some short-sighted U.S. pundits who are adept at supplying long-distance advice, are unwilling to 'live' with an Iranian bomb. The latest WikiLeaks have made it abundantly clear they are not. This Arab support for a military strike against Iran should bolster another move to stiffer sanctions at the upcoming negotiations, when the Iranians can be expected to again display their unparalleled skill in stonewalling. Admiral Mike Mullen, Chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff has now stated categorically that he believes Tehran is headed for the bomb. Interviewed on CNN, Mullen was asked to respond to a statement by Iran's top nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili who had declared his country had absolutely no intention of producing nuclear weapons. Mullen replied; "I don't believe that for a second!" So the U.S., the Arab states and Israel are all on the same page. Israel and the Arabs, who are closer to the threat, are doubtful sanctions will work. The U.S. is more optimistic about still stopping the Islamic Republic of Iran.

The Iranian Missile Range

Events on the far side of the world on the Korean peninsula are an indication of what to expect in the Gulf, if Iran is not prevented from acquiring nuclear weapons. An Iran armed with the bomb and driven by Islamist fanaticism, will throw its weight around the the Gulf as does its soul mate North Korea today. Obviously this is something the U.S. and the West, so dependent on Gulf oil, cannot - will not let happen. Otherwise, the specter of the South Korean island of Yeonpyeong in flames, is a portent for the Gulf. And what makes more sense, for Iran to attack Israel which it believes has its own nuclear weapons and Arrow, one of the most advanced ballistic missile defenses in the world or to meddle with the likes of Saudi Arabia and the feeble Gulf states. Of necessity, this would require a long term commitment of U.S. forces in the Gulf, comparable to America's support of South Korea. So even stiffer sanctions against Iran make sense considering the alternatives. However can the Obama administration, now broadsided by the Republicans over the pending nuclear arms-control weapons deal with an angry Russia, persuade Moscow and Beijing to impose new sanctions?

By comparison, the stalemate on the Israeli- Palestinian track pales dramatically, although there is a connection. The fact that Israel and most of the regional Arab states, with the notable exception of Syria and Lebanon, are now on the same side against Iran, traditional Arab support for the Palestinians has waned. The Hamas ruled Gaza Strip has turned into a radical Iranian forward base despised by Egypt. Subsequently, is this the time for Israel to strike a deal with Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, who runs the West Bank where he has virtually eradicated terror attacks. But Abbas demands an Israeli entrance fee to peace talks on establishing his Palestinian state. Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has rejected the demand for an extension of Israel's ten month settlement freeze that expired on Sept.26th. Abbas adamantly refused to accept Netanyahu's offer to negotiate during those ten months and, then after they had run out, he promptly demanded a further extension. The U.S. is still working behind the scenes to cobble a new deal.

WikiLeaks: There was no mistaking U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's condemnation of the WikiLeaks revelations that may have put some 'good guys' at risk. The U.S., the only real super-power operating around the globe today, until perhaps China makes its debut, depends on the professional input from its diplomats and their contacts for what goes into the mix back in Washington.

Yitzhak Rabin

This is an example of how it sometimes works. Working as a political reporter at Israel Broadcasting some years ago, I once received a telephone call from a senior diplomat at the U.S. embassy I had never spoken to before. After introducing himself, he said there was a member of the White House Staff who was visiting Israel and they would like to meet me for dinner. It was to be an 'open and free discussion, off the record but for background'. Great! I would be able to ask a high- flier from the White House about what was cooking for the Middle East. In those years, Israeli prime ministers were in the habit of holding formal background briefings with Israeli political reporters. Some of it was for publication, some was not. In one case, the then prime minister, Yitzak Rabin even divulged the date for a future IDF withdrawal from south Lebanon. (It was to occur earlier than anyone had anticipated in order to baffle Hizballah). Rabin immediately thundered in his deep voice: "Not a word leaves this room, not a word!" To the credit of the reporters, not a word did.

As for dinner with the two Americans, I noticed they were particularly interested in what the PM of the day (not Rabin) had to say during the closed briefings and what indication he might have given as to his future decisions. To the best of my recollection, I did not disclose any observations that I would not have included in my own reporting on Israeli radio & TV. However, if I had known in advance that my name and comments would have possibly been sent on to Washington, it was only natural that I would have been more guarded in what I said and how I said it. Now that everyone knows they are going on record when they talk with U.S. diplomats around the world they will also be more guarded.

David Essing

Back To The Top